logo   Seat Allocations at John Wayne Airport

The Newport Beach agreement:

The 2003 settlement agreement amendment between the county and Newport Beach limits John Wayne airport to serving 10.3 million annual passengers.

The agreement does not limit the number of seats (including empty seats) that the airlines can fly.

Staying below the MAP cap:

As a consequence of airport management and the Board of Supervisors not allocating the full passenger cap, each year, hundreds of thousands fewer passengers are served at John Wayne than the 10,300,000 allowed by the settlement agreement.

The following table gives the Board of Supervisors’ seat capacity allocations to the airlines since the passenger cap was reset to 10.3 MAP. The table includes the airport manager's predictions of passenger count for the allocations recommended and the actual passenger results measured at the end of the year. The airport manager has some discretion to adjust the allocations during the year and to withdraw or add allocated seats when he deems it necessary.

Plan Year

April-March

BOS action date

BOS

Approved allocation

JWA Mgr’s predicted passengers for plan year

Actual passengers
for plan year
MAP cap
allowed
Difference: Actual passengers
vs. MAP cap

2003-04

Jan 28, 2003

12,284,920
Carrier seats 
+ 333,795
Commuter passengers

8,000,000

8,790,734

10,300,000

-1,509,266

2004-05

Jan 13, 2004

12,532,078
Carrier seats 
+ 523,309
Commuter passengers

8,700,000 to

9,300,000

9,379,772

10,300,000

-920,228

2005-06

Feb. 8, 2005

12,771,764
Carrier seats + 488,607

Commuter passengers

9,600,000

  9,605,194

10,300,000

-694,806

2006-07

Feb. 7, 2006

12,771,764
Carrier seats +500,000

Commuter passengers

10,038,690

  9,765,238

10,300,000

-534,762

2007-08

Dec. 19. 2006

13,182,672 Carrier seats + 500,000 Commuter passengers

9,600,000

9,855,800

10,300,000

-444,200

2008-09

Jan. 15, 2008

12,872,800
Carrier seats +453,950 commuter passengers

10,028,984

approx.

 

10,300,000

 


County procedures for implementing the agreement:

The county developed the Commercial Access Plan and Regulation as its detailed procedures for allocating the number of passengers stipulated in the settlement agreement amongst the various air carriers. The Board of Supervisors is free to modify the procedures so long as they do not conflict with the Newport Beach Settlement Agreement. The access plan allocates passengers to commuter airlines but seats to air carriers. For more on this arrangement see Footnote below:

The allocation of seats necessitates predicting airline load factors months in advance in order to keep the passenger count within the limits of the settlement agreement. Management must estimate how many of the seats it allocates to the airlines either will not be flown or will fly empty. Each year, more than three million empty seats are flown in and out of John Wayne.

Forecasting of the relationship between passenger and seat counts is very difficult due to factors – such as aircraft configuration, timetables, ticket prices and industry factors - that are beyond the airport’s control.

In order to play it safe and not exceed the settlement agreement allowance for passengers, the airport has maintained a cushion in its seat allocations. Airline requests for additional seat allocations have been denied in the effort to stay below the MAP cap.

Click here for an example of how one airline was fined for exceeding their allocation even though the airport was operating well below the allowed MAP cap.

This website’s position:

A deal is a deal and we do not propose that it be disregarded. The deal is for 10.3 MAP.

So long as 10.3 million passengers want to fly from John Wayne and the airlines want to provide the service, they should not be denied access.

If the county would modify its Access Plan and Procedures so as to make the full MAP cap available, the airlines would benefit, the airport would generate more revenue and the flying public would enjoy better service.




Footnote: This December 2, 2007 email from Jenny Wedge, Manager of Public Relations to this website's editor – discussing the county's procedures for allocating seats rather than passengers - is reproduced in its entirety.

Leonard:

On November 10, 2007 you asked a number of questions regarding the allocation of operating capacity at John Wayne Airport.  I have spoken with our Airport Access and Noise staff and am pleased to provide the following:

1.    “What prevents the airport from making passenger allocations to all airlines, up to the total number of passengers allowed in the settlement agreement, thereby avoiding the seat capacity allocation process?

Capacity allocations are currently governed by the Phase 2 Commercial Airline Access Plan and Regulation.  The current version was approved by the Board of Supervisors.  The Access Plan specifically requires the allocation of seat capacity. 

2.    If the answer is that the seat allocation process is specifically required by agreement between the settling parties, what document requires this, and why could it not be amended by the parties if the concept of a passenger allocation system is more workable? 

Although the Access Plan currently provides for the allocation of seat capacity to air carriers, nothing in the Settlement Agreement prohibits the County from allocating passenger capacity instead of seat capacity.  However, if the County determined that it was interested in allocating to the air carriers in this manner, a number of substantial revisions would be required in the Access Plan. In connection with this process, it would be important to provide the air carriers and other interested parties with an opportunity to provide input on the possible revisions to the allocation process and to discuss whether the added assurances provided by allocating passenger capacity outweigh the flexibility and assurance of providing the maximum amount of available capacity at the Airport that is provided by allocating seat capacity.

Your e-mail also states that “it is reasonable to ask whether it is better to allocate passengers rather than seats to the air carriers.”  I thought it might be helpful to share some of the logic behind the concept of allocating seat capacity.

As you know, in addition to an allocation of Regulated Average Daily Departures (ADDs), air carriers must also receive an allocation of seat capacity.  This seat capacity reflects the specific equipment each air carrier intends to use during the Plan Year.  Once the seat capacity necessary to support the intended operation of the Regulated ADDs is allocated, the County allocates additional seat capacity to requesting airlines up to the level at which the County believes will allow it to remain within the Settlement Agreement Million Annual Passenger (MAP) limitation.

This additional (“supplemental”) seat capacity is allocated annually, and is an important basis for the operation of Class E aircraft by the air carriers at JWA.  All Class E operations (with the exception of the recently created Permanent Class E ADDs) are based upon supplemental operating capacity in the form of “seats.”  In the event circumstances indicate that the annual MAP limitation may be exceeded, this supplemental seat capacity is the county's “safety valve” for first withdrawal of capacity to remain within the MAP limitation. 

The county's position has long been that there is a tradeoff between allocating seat capacity versus passenger capacity. More certainty could be provided with respect to compliance with the MAP limitation without the possibility of withdrawals by allocating passengers, but this would likely result in less Class E capacity available to the air carriers.  Allocating seats, however, provides the County with the flexibility to maximize capacity allocations for Class E operations while still providing a safety mechanism for withdrawal of this capacity, if necessary.

It is important to note that allocating passenger capacity would ensure MAP compliance without the possibility of capacity withdrawals.  It would, however, also take away the county's flexibility in ensuring that the maximum capacity is flown each Plan Year.  In order to maintain that flexibility, the County would have to consider the same two variables used in allocating seats, i.e., average passenger (instead of seat) capacity of the ADDs and the average annual load factor.   

In sum, the allocation of seat capacity (instead of passenger capacity) creates a mechanism that:
•    provides the maximum feasible flexibility to the air carriers in selecting the mix of aircraft types used by them in their service at JWA;
•    ensures that the maximum amount of available capacity is used to serve the air traveling public; and
•    provides a fair mechanism by which air carrier capacity reductions can be effected if the County determines that reductions are necessary to ensure adherence to the MAP limitation.

January 9, 2008
rev. April 8, 2008